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South Korea Views Won as Misaligned, Anticipates H2 2026 Relief

South Korea's foreign exchange authorities believe the won-dollar rate is currently out of sync with economic realities, expecting rebalancing by mid-2026.

South Korean foreign exchange officials have reiterated their assessment that the Korean won's valuation against the US dollar does not accurately reflect the nation's underlying economic strength. This perspective suggests that the current market rate for the won may be undervalued relative to its fundamental economic indicators, a situation closely monitored by currency traders.

Authorities project a potential shift in the supply and demand dynamics for foreign exchange during the latter half of 2026. This anticipated change is largely attributed to an expected influx of US dollars from Korean exporters. These exporters frequently accumulate foreign currency holdings, which are then brought into the domestic market through mechanisms like foreign exchange forward contracts, influencing the won's valuation.

For retail forex and CFD traders, understanding these official sentiments can provide context on potential future policy actions or market interventions, although direct price predictions are never advised. The won's movement can also impact the profitability of South Korean-focused equity CFDs, as a stronger won can make exports more expensive and imports cheaper.

Extended Trading Hours Offer Greater Flexibility

Furthermore, South Korean financial regulators highlighted that the recent expansion of trading hours for the dollar-won market provides them with enhanced operational capacity. This extended window allows for more flexible and timely interventions should market stability be perceived as being at risk. Such measures are typically aimed at mitigating excessive volatility and maintaining orderly market conditions, which can be a key consideration for those trading currency pairs involving the won.

The authorities' consistent messaging indicates a watchful stance on currency movements, with an expectation of a more balanced market environment emerging in the medium term, supported by structural changes in foreign currency flows and increased operational latitude.

📰 Based on reporting from: ForexLive →

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