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US 10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 4.80%, Highest Since Early 2025

The US 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to levels not seen since January 2025, driven by inflation concerns and rising oil prices.

The yield on the benchmark US 10-year Treasury note has recently advanced, crossing the 4.75% threshold and briefly touching 4.80%. This marks a significant move, reaching its highest point since January 2025. The upward trajectory in yields comes amidst ongoing concerns about inflation and a notable rise in crude oil prices, which have recently surpassed $90 per barrel.

This development is particularly relevant for retail forex, CFD, and crypto traders, as US Treasury yields often influence the US Dollar's strength and broader market sentiment. Higher yields can make the dollar more attractive, potentially impacting currency pairs and commodity prices.

The current rise in yields follows a period where the 10-year Treasury yield had largely consolidated within a range between 4.60% and 4.75% since late July. The recent breakout above this established range suggests a shift in market dynamics, indicating increased selling pressure on bonds, which in turn pushes yields higher.

Key Resistance Levels for 10-Year Yield

  • The current move has approached the January 2025 peak of 4.823%.
  • Maintaining levels above 4.75% is seen as crucial for sustaining the current upward momentum.
  • Should the yield continue to climb, the next significant psychological and technical target for some market observers is the 5% level.

Conversely, a retreat below the 4.75% mark could signal a potential loss of momentum, prompting reassessment of the current market trend. For now, the focus remains on whether the 10-year yield can firmly establish itself above this key level and continue its upward trajectory.

📰 Based on reporting from: ForexLive →

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