Gold Seasonality Analyzer
See how gold's monthly patterns change depending on the time period you analyze. No cherry-picked data.
📅 Select Analysis Period
Watch how patterns shift as you change the time window
📊 Monthly Performance Heatmap
Source: LBMA Gold Price PM FixWhy Patterns Change by Period
Gold seasonality is not fixed. Different sources report contradictory "best months" because they use different time periods:
- Recent 10 years: Dominated by ETF flows, central bank buying, and QE effects
- 20-30 years: Includes 2000s bull run and 2013 crash
- 50+ years: Includes gold standard era, Hunt Brothers, and very different market structure
→ Use this tool to compare periods and understand pattern stability, not to find a "magic month".
🔍 Pattern Stability Check
Compare the same month across different periods to see if patterns are stable
📐 Methodology & Data Sources
Data Source
LBMA Gold Price PM Fix - The global benchmark for gold pricing, published daily by ICE Benchmark Administration.
LBMA Official Data →Calculation
Monthly return = (End - Start) / Start × 100
Average = Arithmetic mean of all returns for that month
Win Rate = % of years with positive return
Limitations
- Past performance ≠ future results
- USD only (currency effects not shown)
- Transaction costs not included
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Disclaimer: This tool is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seasonality patterns may not repeat and should not be the sole basis for trading decisions.
Data: LBMA Gold Price PM Fix (1971-2024). Tool updated: January 2025.